Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000698 0.000794 0.000894 0.001008 0.001134 0.001267 0.001419
2025-09-14 0.000547 0.000678 0.000826 0.001005 0.001214 0.001448 0.001730
2025-09-21 0.000460 0.000606 0.000778 0.000994 0.001256 0.001561 0.001939
2025-09-28 0.000390 0.000543 0.000731 0.000976 0.001282 0.001650 0.002118
2025-10-05 0.000354 0.000517 0.000723 0.001001 0.001358 0.001795 0.002365
2025-10-12 0.000322 0.000491 0.000713 0.001019 0.001422 0.001927 0.002596
2025-10-19 0.000286 0.000455 0.000685 0.001010 0.001449 0.002009 0.002766
2025-10-26 0.000254 0.000422 0.000657 0.000998 0.001469 0.002081 0.002923
2025-11-02 0.000233 0.000402 0.000646 0.001008 0.001517 0.002190 0.003128
2025-11-09 0.000211 0.000380 0.000629 0.001008 0.001550 0.002278 0.003307
2025-11-16 0.000185 0.000347 0.000594 0.000978 0.001539 0.002306 0.003406
2025-11-23 0.000162 0.000318 0.000562 0.000951 0.001531 0.002336 0.003505
2025-11-30 0.000147 0.000300 0.000547 0.000948 0.001557 0.002414 0.003674
2025-12-07 0.000134 0.000285 0.000534 0.000948 0.001586 0.002497 0.003851
2025-12-14 0.000120 0.000267 0.000515 0.000937 0.001598 0.002555 0.003995
2025-12-21 0.000107 0.000247 0.000493 0.000919 0.001599 0.002597 0.004116
2025-12-28 0.000102 0.000244 0.000497 0.000943 0.001664 0.002733 0.004373
2026-01-04 0.000096 0.000238 0.000497 0.000960 0.001720 0.002856 0.004613
2026-01-11 0.000087 0.000225 0.000482 0.000952 0.001733 0.002916 0.004764
2026-01-18 0.000079 0.000211 0.000466 0.000940 0.001741 0.002967 0.004902
2026-01-25 0.000074 0.000205 0.000462 0.000950 0.001783 0.003071 0.005118
2026-02-01 0.000068 0.000196 0.000453 0.000950 0.001808 0.003149 0.005298
2026-02-08 0.000059 0.000180 0.000430 0.000921 0.001786 0.003153 0.005366